Four Quad Business Cycle
We recently introduced a more advanced method for deciphering the U.S. economy by developing a four quadrant bubble chart. See below:
Competitive Analytics’ FOUR QUADRANT BUSINESS CYCLE via 1000 POINT STRENGTH INDEX empowers you to visualize the relative strength, direction, and momentum of the U.S. economy. The Y-axis measures the relative overall strength of the U.S. economy via our TPSI. The TPSI ranges from zero to 1000 where 500 is benchmarked as the mathematical stabilized equilibrium. Historical figures and forecasts above or below 500 reflect relative strength or weakness, respectively. The X-axis measures the 12 month moving change in the TPSI. Thus, you can now identify four distinct business cycle quadrants: QI is the “CONTRACTION” quadrant located at the lower left and reflects relative weakness and continued deceleration. Q2 is the “RECOVERY” quadrant located at the lower right and reflects relative weakness and positive growth. Q3 is the “SLOW DOWN” quadrant located at the upper left and reflects relative strength but negative growth. Q4 is the “EXPANSION” quadrant located at the upper right and reflects relative strength and contnued positive growth.
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